more nigeria colonial legacy inequity and instability that reinforce each other british negotiated independence worked better because the native elites stayed in power and used the infrastructure already in place to continue running the country institutions federal (vs unitary like GB) large population, but diverse, fed system to preserve local rights bicam legislature upper house addresses larger areas lower house addresses local matters 1967-70 Biafa War of Secession failed, wanted exclusive use of their mineral rights use of ethnicity want to avoid having politicized set of ethnic divisions initial political system mobilization along ethnic lines in many countries, not really british colonies though sometimes linguistic, sometimes phenotypical, always geographic in rwanda, belgian authorities emphasized one group over an other linguistic is a big factor, mostly because some don't have access to formal education leads to parrochial political culture, not aware of national politics hard to get demographic data b/c of poor infrastructure literacy is 39-50% 150-200 different ethnic groups, many different languages political parties in order to be able to be registered, need to have national appeal in the platform primary divide is regional north (muslim) vs south (christian/else) 1983/85 Babangida military ruler presented self as interim leader comparable to latin america has a history of military/security forces to take control promises to liberalize system and step down supports democratic transition policies work to retaining military sets up pair of parties with competing agendas, no others allowed, no independents elections in 1992, decides void and bans candidates from politics 92-93 Abiola elections considered to be free and fair had support across both major groups projected to win 93-98 Abacha installs interim national government failed attempts to manage transition repression, violation of human rights has to strugle with Abiola Abiola proclaims himself ruler in 1994, is arrested and held until 1999 Abiola's wife is assassinated dies mysteriously in 1998, believed to have been poisoned buried w/o autopsy paves way for real transition 1998 Abiola given power by Abacha's successor elections in 1999 1999-2007 Obasanjo served 4 year term, reelected under questionable circumstances 2007 Yar-Adua some polling stations never opened some never received voting materials other places had ballot boxes removed to local party offices official numbers clearly doctored in places where voting occurred, money was often exchanged for votes, non-secret voting, other BS supreme court ignores it